Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
Question description
The original wager for this question appeared here and was made January 1, 2021.
Caplan writes:
I’ve already seen George Mason University badly mistreat non-conformist professors. Should I expect the same to happen to me? I wouldn’t be surprised, but I’m not greatly worried either. I’m definitely not going to self-censor to protect myself. Yet quite a few people tell me that I’m in grave danger. One of them, Todd Proebsting, a C.S. professor at the University of Arizona, has offered to bet me.
To be clear, Todd wishes me well. He does not want me to suffer mistreatment; he merely predicts it. Here are the terms on which we have agreed.
I bet Todd Proebsting $50 at even odds that I will NOT be "clearly mistreated" by George Mason University before January 1, 2031.
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 32 |
Capture
The original wager for this question appeared here and was made January 1, 2021.
Caplan writes:
I’ve already seen George Mason University badly mistreat non-conformist professors. Should I expect the same to happen to me? I wouldn’t be...
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