This market will resolve YES if one of the following major New York metropolitan area-based teams wins their respective championship by the conclusion of the 2025 NFL season (Latest Feb 9, 2026 – Super Bowl 60)

New York Mets – World Series

New...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

Taiwan (Republic of China) and China (People's Republic of China) are de facto separate countries, but China maintains that Taiwan is a Chinese province and that eventual unification is inevitable. The United States ceased formal diplomatic relations...

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or...

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at...

EDIT

Let's operationalize it this way:

"If Eliezer either expresses that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, or Eliezer strongly implies that he feels this way (eg. by indicating that it is more useful than an additional...

In the first half of the NBA game between 76ers and Lakers, scheduled for February 5 at 10:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers are winning by 2 or more points at halftime.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers"..

Will Donald J Trump be inaugurated as US President again before 2025?

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are...

They have 3 now.

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 5 at 7:00 PM ET:

If the Merrimack College Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Merrimack College Warriors".

If the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to "Mount St. Mary's...

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. House of Representatives from New York's Seventeenth Congressional District. A candidate shall be considered to represent a...

conditional on that i am working in 10 years.

i've been working for the last ~6 months, and have been working weekends for all of them.

background: i told @SirSalty and @NZ that i hate how people don't work on weekends, and they said "we'll see how...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if prjx.com officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not...

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.

It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or...

Resolves Yes if a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025

To quality for having used Manifold data, at least 100 questions from Manifold should have been used for the research paper.

Resolves No...

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 21, 2026, If Chicago Fire FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off..

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes...