This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will...

YouTube will release an AI-powered comment summarization feature for creators by March 15, 2025. The feature will use AI to analyze comments on videos and generate summaries of key discussion topics, questions, praise, and complaints. It will provide...

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during...

Resolves YES if, at any point between May 12, 2025, and January 20, 2029 President Donald Trump's approval rating among Republicans falls below 80% according to Gallup, which polls weekly and publishes the results under Donald Trump's Second-Term Job...

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the...

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will...

Resolves as YES if the dancing plague returns before January 1st, 2031.

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-0434665d77eb

@/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-8270051dd717...

This market will resolve identically to this one on Kalshi:

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxepstein/epstein-documents

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that South Korea has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031. This device must be under the sovereign control of the South Korean State, and they must have the ability to use it...

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take...

The purpose of this question is to get the current baseline for interest rates (It was ran here previously: https://manifold.markets/JonathanMann/this-question-will-resolve-as-yes-o-152c7418ec31?r=Q2hhbWVMZW9u). This will resolve as YES on 2026-01-01...

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the year 2050, more than 50% of school children within the compulsory schooling age in Vienna are identified as Muslim. The determination will be based on official statistics or credible...

Resolves as YES if Vladimir Putin is the leader of Russia on December 31st 2031

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-1d6af8492e40

@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-c5fc19dfa944...

Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2033 (and after 2023)

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d...

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.

This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.

"Total combined rounds"...

Will Donald Trump or MAGA be satirized in GTA VI?

Some examples that could satisfy a ‘Yes’ resolution are:

an NPC who is a politician and:

Has avid supporters who wear red hats,

Makes excessive use of hyperbole to inflate their image,

Has...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved...