This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old videos or...

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 15, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...

Anti-Satellite (ASAT) weapons come in a variety of forms, including cyber operations, electronic jamming, laser "dazzling," and kinetic physical attacks like missiles and co-orbital weapons.

As both the militarization and the commercialization of...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the...

See https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mostly-skeptical-thoughts-on-the (note that I'm asking about the inverse of his 4th prediction). Resolution criteria from the post: "The AI will fail this task if there’s any kind of post I write that it...

Michael Saylor alleges Trump wants to eliminate capital gains on US based cryptocurrencies:

[tweet]However, the authenticity of the quote has been called into question.

Meanwhile, anonymous sources close to the president are indicating this is a...

The House Energy & Commerce Committee has included a provision in its reconciliation bill that would ban AI regulation by state and local governments for the next 10 years.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if this provision passes both the House...

[image]See: https://twitter.com/NathanpmYoung/status/1783629715850322401

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this...

This market predicts whether Anysphere (developer of Cursor) will achieve a valuation over $10 billion, up from its recent $2.5B valuation.

Resolution Criteria: The market will resolve based on publicly reported valuation from financial news outlets...

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...

This question resolves YES if any space agency/company successfully changes the trajectory of an asteroid, comet, or other natural object in space so as to avoid it impacting a much larger body.

In order to qualify, the deflected object must have...

This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald...

This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Natus Vincere and ONIC in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 17 at 4:15AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the VTB United League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of VTB United...

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the...

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 10 at 12:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Al Kholood Saudi Club" if Al Kholood Saudi Club win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Taawoun...