We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Viability is defined as quantum computers being turned into a mass produced product line (like, not just a few one-offs here and there), and being integrated for some obviously profitable industrial use in actual businesses. Basically, being put to...
by EOD 6/30
I will be able to install mods/extensions/etc so that at my home PC running win10 and cursor, I will be able to do VOICE control of cursor.
i.e.: do ALL of this minimal example, or more (it's okay if we do even more than this and I'm...
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between JD Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if JD Gaming and Anyone's...
Background Norway has held two referendums on EU membership (1972 and 1994), both resulting in rejection. While Norway maintains close ties with the EU through the European Economic Area (EEA) agreement, recent polls show increasing support for EU...
A Whole Foods in San Francisco just closed temporarily, citing employee safety concerns (it is situated on a block of SF famous for open-air drug use). The closure has political implications for the city, and therefore city leadership will likely try...
This market will resolve according to the number of spots songs by or featuring Drake hold in the top 10 spots of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week titled "Week of May 30, 2026".
A qualifying song must credit Drake as an artist.
This market...
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough...
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for April 26 at 2:10PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.
This market will resolve to "Chicago...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take...
If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
Resolves identically to this Kalshi market:...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Decriminalize Adult Commercial Sexual Activity bill (SB26-097) (https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/sb26-097) is passed by both chambers of the Colorado General Assembly and becomes law by December 31, 2026, 11:59...
This market resolves YES if there is a vote announced by the British government on the unification of Ireland before the end of 2025-12-31. Any other outcome, such as ongoing serious talks, a promise with no date formally declared, or unification...
The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League.
If at any point it becomes impossible...
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Fokina” if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins the...
The original document for Project 2025 proposes bills to restrict or ban LGBTQ content by classifying it on the same level as sex crimes. The originally proposed version of KOSA proposed allowing state attorneys general to restrict content they deem...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Yannick Hanfmann in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or...
This market will resolve based on Encore Medical’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 22 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the...
This market gauges the potential long-term impact of AOH1996, on overall cancer survival rates. Unlike markets focusing on short-term results in clinical trials or regulatory approvals, this market probes the drug's real-world significance.
To...
This market question YES if Warren Buffett ceases to be CEO of Berkshire Hathaway before 2030.
See also:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-warren-buffett-cease-to-be-ceo)
Can't find what you were looking for? Show more, or suggest a question on Metaculus