This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the...

If Biden Wins Presidency:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/will-joe-biden-survive-through-the)Will Trump Survive:

[markets]

Major League Baseball, a North American sports league, is a business worth almost $11bn annually. The top league of the sport known as 'America's pastime', it is one of the world's most watched sports leagues, with the 2022 World Series attracting...

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).

This market will resolve according to the percentage...

This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59...

There seems to be a small but significant trend of people from the Rationalist movement eventually converting to Christianity, despite how diametrically opposed their previous beliefs seemed to any sort of religious fideism. This market will resolve...

Associated grant: Center for Effective Global Action at UC Berkeley — Scoping RCTs for Long-Term Follow-Ups

This market will resolve to "Yes" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US..

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 7, 2026 If Independiente Santa Fe wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...

The Cato Institute, which according to their website "is a public policy research organization—or think tank—that creates a presence for and promotes libertarian ideas in policy debates," publishes Freedom in the 50 States, a ranking of how free each...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from...

Resolves YES if RFK Jr. files suit by the end of June 2025. Resolves NO otherwise.

Inspired by https://nypost.com/2024/09/23/us-news/olivia-nuzzi-bombarded-rfk-jr-with-increasingly-pornographic-messages-mutual-friend/ and a tweet from twitter user...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results...

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CA Mineiro and São Paulo FC, scheduled for March 18 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if CA Mineiro and São Paulo FC combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.

If the combined total is...

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will...

Resolves as YES if there is a Dyson Sphere around the Sun on January 1st 2050, capable of harnessing at least 1% of its power output. This artificial megastructure must at least be distributed in a ring around the Sun (i.e. it cannot be focused as a...

Hard take-off defined as rapid self-improvement, in a matter of hours or days, so that it gradually and quickly becomes superhuman at every cognitive task. I would consider it soft takeoff if it takes more than 2 months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly...

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they...

Metagame is a weekend conference about game design, strategy, narrative, and play currently scheduled for September 12-14, 2025. It's run by the Quant Trading Bootcamp franchise and is planned to take place at Lighthaven in Berkeley, California..

This question resolves as YES if, before the January 1st 2028, a meme generated by artificial intelligence gains significant recognition and viral status, comparable to the widespread influence and shareability of popular memes created by humans. The...