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i will not bet on this market (past the initial transaction which I already made).
i will use this market's description as a loan ledger.
Active loans
Received
2025-06-16: @Joshua 10k loan at 0% (no interest) due 2025-07-16.
Past...
Resolves based on majority of any 24-hour trading window above/below these values
Related Markets
(https://manifold.markets/embed/grid/will-bitcoin-go-below-10k-for-at-le/will-bitcoin-go-above-50k-for-at-le)
BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.
Prediction for 2025 made by Gen. Michael A. Minihan (link)
This market resolves as "Yes" if there is any direct combat between United States and China forces. Note that both sides need to be directly involved in the conflict (i.e there needs to be...
https://www.tomsguide.com/wellness/fitness-trackers/apple-ring-rumors-release-date-price-design-features
[image]@/strutheo/will-apple-announce-a-smart-ring-we-a1fa0a948c02
@/strutheo/will-apple-release-a-smart-ring-wea-2402d875b4f1...
verified by Nature and the Washington Post
See also:
@/skibidist/will-elon-musk-say-he-believes-in-g-UNCcynC9OQ
He is almost there
[tweet]
Will the U.S. Supreme Court officially hold Donald Trump, or any active member of his Cabinet, in contempt of court before February 1st, 2029?
Currently the highest-grossing movie is Avengers: Endgame, with made $2.79B worldwide.
https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/worldwide/all-movies/cumulative/all-time
I'm giving the market an extra year to resolve post-movie-release date to...
"Bank of America expects Apple to sell 1.5 million units of the Vision Pro in its first year, while Wedbush expects first-year sales of only 150,000 units" [1]
"KGI Securities analyst Christine Wang said she expected shipments of 200,000 in the...
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2031 (and after 2023)
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d...
This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2031, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.
This is Casey's high-confidence prediction from the 1/3/25 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.
Market will resolve to yes if there is at least one U.S. Congressional hearing in 2025 devoted primarily to the political bias of AI chatbots, or...
Resolves YES if @Tumbles ships (or otherwise transmits) a package of his own blood to @Robincvgr, with credible evidence/support.
For YES, this requires:
Evidence of @Tumbles drawing blood
Evidence of @Tumbles shipping/giving the blood (e.g....
Belize and Guatamala are in dispute over an area of land south of the Siburn river. Currently both countries have asked the ICJ to resolve the issue and they are submitting briefs.
The area of land in question is approximately 12,000 km2....
This resolves to YES if Twitch still exists or is still owned by Amazon by 2024-12-31.
This resolves to NO if Twitch doesn't exist or is no longer owned by Amazon by 2024-12-31.
Posting because I think the title of this reddit post is probably incorrect and want a market about it
Note: to an extent I am relying on the market participants providing such a story. I will intentionally wait 1 month to resolve in case such a...
It doesn't have to be all cars or all modes, but it should be at least one mode that you can get into where during that mode, tesla has liability, and you don't have to self-drive. It has to be SAE level 3 also.
It has to be usable on most roads in...
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