This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 2nd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League....

This is the median. The report about these estimates also plots the results for each question “with individual response distributions visible” in Appendix A.

Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before January 1st 2042.

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-b78c73592440

@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is...

MSCHF sold 400 physical tokens for $35 representing a pre-order of 9 burgers made from Angus, a calf born in early 2024. Angus is scheduled to be slaughtered in March 2026, unless at least 50% of token holders cancel their pre-orders, in which case...

Everything priced in Bitcoin seems to be trending to zero.

[Change my Mind meme]

Closes at random sometime before the close date, unless someone posts positive proof in the comments

Associated grant: Evidence Action — Strengthen Operations (2017)

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market...

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL...

Mar 3, 12:31pm: CHIPS STOCK → UnflavoredChips Stock

Mar 3, 12:32pm: UnflavoredChips Stock → UnflavoredChips (Austin) Stock

This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026.

If Perez finishes ahead of Bottas, this market will resolve to "Perez". If Bottas finishes ahead of Perez,...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Greater Beirut on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying...

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026..

This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed before the end of 2025 according to the rules on the site https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/ according to the IMO Grand Challenge committee. This requires an AI to generate...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Coach of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Coach of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next head coach of the Men’s Basketball team at the University of North Carolina.

Interim coaches will not qualify. If no new coach is named by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch...