If Biden Wins Presidency:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/will-donald-trump-survive-through-t-4336685a1df9)Will Biden Survive:

[markets]

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties...

YES: Nate Silver wins

NO: Galen Druke wins

The rules and the picks are listed here:

[image]I will not bet in this market. If some intervening events make resolving this market impossible (a dramatic change in the structure of the democratic...

This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.

We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant...

Pharmaceutical researchers have recently made progress in weight-loss management with the development of Semaglutide which has demonstrated 15-18% weight loss in subjects. Side effects are relatively minor, and it is administered as a once-per-week...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final...

Related:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Akzzz123/will-joe-biden-live-till-the-end-of)

On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement...

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/19/capital-one-acquiring-discover-financial-services-report-says.html

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 28 at 10:00PM ET: If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Legal recognition refers...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from...

This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Sayana® Press on or before December 31, 2026. Or if an organisations supplying Sayana® press is designated a "Top Charity" or a...

Resolves YES if a language model is released before January 1st 2026, that:

1. Has freely accessible weights, meaning the general public can download it and run it locally, regardless of additional restrictions.
2. Is explicitly described as having...

This market refers to the Call of Duty Play-In match between Carolina Royal Ravens and Paris Gentle Mates in the Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 27 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Carolina Royal...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from...

This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026.

If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July...

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Serie A.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it...