Is Elon Musk's government role unconstitutional? What the Supreme Court might say. - ABC News

Elon Musk is currently serving as an advisor to the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), a role created by President Trump. The White House...

Not some obscure theorem, or technical task like fusion mgmt, but Nobel Prize worth work in a legitimate field

Oumuamua is a first ever confirmed "interstellar object" to enter Solar system. It was detected by Hawaiian telescope PAN_STARRS2 on October 18, 2017 and was named "Oumuamua" which stands for "advance scout" in Hawaiian.

However, the brightness of...

The Code of Practice (CoP) is being drafted currently, soon to be completed. It is supposed to be signed by the companies who would agree to abide by the Code to comply with the AI Act. Given recent political tensions between the US and the EU on...

Resolves YES if after the 2030 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes. Resolves NO otherwise.

If a politically...

https://www.vulture.com/2023/09/the-office-reboot.html

[link preview]I'm not really sure how long TV shows take from concept to first episode, hopefully two years is enough to be reasonable?

Anything counts as long as it's a full TV series (not...

Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing that it has agreed to acquire Disney posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx)...

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of 2025, there is credible evidence indicating that Donald Trump is suffering from dementia. Such evidence may include:

An official medical diagnosis of dementia made by a...

I have applied to be a vendor at several local farmers markets for my chocolate business. I think the likelihood of doing 5 events (if i'm accepted to a market) is very high, however will I like it enough to keep doing it?

Resolves 2 weeks after wide theatrical release in US. Do NOT spam reviews in order to manipulate this market one way or the other. That is NOT a nice thing to do.

For comparison, as of this writing, Sonic has 6.5, Sonic 2 has 6.5, Detective Pikachu...

Will Starship be involved in any way? Like launching the actual lander, or providing orbital fuel to another rocket, providing Earth reentry and landing for a return capsule, or doing the whole going to Mars and return. If it's only delivering...

Related Question on Metaculus:

• Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

The Labour Party) is a centre-left political party in the United Kingdom that has been described as an alliance of social democrats,...

i.e. through the 2024 presidential election term

Hybrid products combine plant-based and cultivated components, making them a cheaper option for cultivated meat firms attempting to compete with conventional meat. This market will resolve YES if a hybrid product can be purchased by any member of the...

Same resolution criteria as:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/CodeSolder/will-there-be-largescale-rioting-in-721f0882dfd8)

This question resolves YES if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla before 2030.

Note: Merely changing his title from CEO to something else would not count.

See also:

@/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-t-gy4t37jxtm (this...

"Slaughterbots" is a term used to describe drones that use artificial intelligence and facial recognition to target people with lethal force.

The term was brought into the popular lexicon by an arms-control advocacy video created in 2017 by the...

This resolves as yes if Starship launches from the Americas and crosses the 180th meridian before landing, crashing, or breaking up.

For example, launching in an Easterly direction from Texas and breaking up on reentry near Hawaii would qualify.

I...

Background

Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan married in 2012. Recent reports have highlighted tensions in their relationship. While there has been speculation about marital issues, as of January 2024, they remain married with no official...

I have been working on a "for fun" side project TTRPG to play with my friends. The RPG is rules-light, narrative-driven, and explicitly non-crunchy. Currently, there are only about ~15-20 pages of text.

When GPT-5 releases, I will attempt to have it...

Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2028, and I learn about it.

The scam attempt can use voice generation, video generation, or any similar form of...