This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If...

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve...

Pogačar has already won 3 of the 5 monuments (the biggest one-day classics) of road cycling. Resolves YES if Tadej Pogačar wins the 2 other monuments (Paris–Roubaix and Milan-Sanremo) before he retires.

The baseline number we're using will be 35.9T for the sake of simplicity. If the national debt is less than that amount on 11/5/2028, this will resolve to YES.

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This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.

We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant...

This market will resolve to the NBA team that officially acquires Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade from the Milwaukee Bucks before the 2025-2026 NBA season trade deadline.

If Giannis Antetokounmpo is cut, retires, is not on an NBA roster as of the...

The current % is about 55%

According to the average of this tracker in 2025, or if it isn't running, a similar one, shifted so that the average of 2020-2022 was 55% in favour (to set a clear baseline)

https://yougov.co..

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the worst regular season record in the NBA for the 2025-2026 Season.

If multiple teams finish with identical records, the league’s tiebreaker rules will be used to determine the worst...

I noticed that while we have 5 markets about catgirls, we have no markets about catboys. This is a horridly sad realization that needs to be rectified. As such, I am doing that here.

We will be defining what a "catboy" is based on good ol anime...

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for December 4 at 2:15PM ET: If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to "Olympiacos B.C.". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed,...

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters..

Resolves YES if an AI generated or AI assisted artwork gets included in the 2025 Venice Biennale

https://www.labiennale.org/en

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market...

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will...

Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945

Sep 4, 9:54pm: Probably I'll use The World Bank or something, if I consider reliable.

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have been dating publicly since September 2023. Their relationship has garnered significant media attention, with Swift attending multiple Chiefs games and Kelce supporting Swift at her concerts. Both have spoken...

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until...

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...