The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise,...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...

If concrete evidence does not become available resolves PROB to my opinion at close.

Currently I'd put it around 20-30%, mainly due to:

clumsy and unnecessarily public exploit implementation (plus interoperability issues) characteristic of somebody...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count....

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 9, 2026 If Estudiantes de La Plata wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been...

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to...

The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is a trade deal between the United States, Mexico, and Canada that replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Signed on November 30, 2018, and implemented on July 1, 2020, the USMCA...

I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state has 1,000,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an...

Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 6 12:00 PM ET to February 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count..

A referendum on Scottish independence from the United Kingdom took place on 18 September 2014. The referendum question, which voters answered with "Yes" or "No", was "Should Scotland be an independent country?"

The "No" side won, with 2,001,926 (55..

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this...

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Ski Big Air - Men's event at the time of the...

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Top Chef Season 23.

If Top Chef Season 23 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Top Chef Season 23 has otherwise not concluded by JUly 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution...

Will data center technicians be necessary in 2027? Or will data centers be fully automated and run with AI and robots?

I’m particularly interested in whether humans are necessary to rack and replace hardware.

I expect to judge this by looking at...

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take...

This is an equivalent question to https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/before-2035-will-there-exist-any-ai, except that it resolves based on my judgment instead of @IsaacKing's. I expect it to resolve the same, but this is not guaranteed and I will...

The 2025 Polish presidential election is scheduled for May 18, 2025. This market predicts whether voter turnout will surpass 70%. In the 2023 parliamentary elections, turnout reached a historic 74.4%, while the 2020 presidential election saw a...

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in last place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League..