https://www.richardhanania.com/p/my-plan-to-slow-down-aging

If he lives past 120 this market will resolve to the maximum value.

Prediction #5 from: My Takeaways From AI 2027 - by Scott Alexander

Must be a state of the art model, used by millions of people, not just a research project.

Resolves as YES if Ukraine controls Mariupol on January 1st 2029

Amid escalating tensions with President Trump, Elon Musk has hinted at shifting political alliances. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Musk publicly endorses or financially supports any Democratic candidate for any public office before August 1,...

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly...

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from Idaho. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a...

This market merely requires that both Russian and American official channels (gov announcements count, including on eg twitter, a press conference, etc.) announce a joint plan to build a bridge or tunnel or similar kind of permanent crossing between...

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for...

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage),...

This market predicts whether the margin of victory in Poland's presidential runoff election on June 1, 2025, will be less than 1%. The first round held on May 18, 2025, resulted in a narrow lead for Rafał Trzaskowski over Karol Nawrocki. The market...

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach, scheduled for May 9 at 9:30 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Augsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.

If...

People have been talking lately about seed oils as the dietary Public Enemy Number One. I'm skeptical - seems like we've found a bunch of Dietary Enemies over the last century and had good reason to doubt or walk back most (e.g. is butter good or bad...

This market refers to the table tennis match between Ukraine and Japan in a WTT event, scheduled for May 7 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Ukraine' if Ukraine wins against Japan.

This market will resolve to 'Japan' if Japan wins against...

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified...

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 8, 2026 If FC Nantes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game...

Market will remain open until the PLA invasion has commenced and will resolve YES if the PLA strikes Taiwan's allies preemptively. Resolves NO if the Allies strike PLA targets before being hit themselves or if a declaration of war has been formally...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the...

Resolves as per:

https://insightprediction.com/m/243620/will-black-students-be-less-than-10-of-the-ivy-league-class-of-2028?i=Richard&utm_source=R1

For this market, we will consider only the percentage of Black or African-American students in the...