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This market will resolve to NO at the end of 2029.
Will resolve YES if Andrew Cuomo is elected Mayor of New York City in November 2025
This market is talking about the:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/which-candidate-would-last-the-long)I’m in the Ironman so I can’t be viewed as fully objective here and I’m deferring to @AmmonLam‘s discretion. Will the ending of the...
Resolves as YES if by January 1st 2030 part of the legal name (1st name, middle name, etc.) of Elon Musk's child is Physics, otherwise resolves as NO.
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As David Cameron recently stated, will the UK officially recognise Palestine?
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The Clean Air Actss) (CAA) is the broad name given to the United States' air quality laws, which are administered by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Originally passed in 1963, the CAA has been amended numerous times. The CAA prevents...
His pro-Putin propaganda just keeps spillin'. Has Musk been bought by Putin? Open until resolved.
https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/1764081986228883800
https://vatniksoup.com/en/soups/201/
https://vatniksoup.com/en/soups/203/
https://www..
Pandemic severity tradeoffs include mortality, transmissibility, scale, and any other relevant considerations.
With the announcement of Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater, speculation has begun that the Metal Gear series, which has been dormant since the 2018 release of Metal Gear Survive and has not seen a canonical main title since 2015's Metal Gear Solid...
Currently, ASML is “the sole supplier in the world of extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV) photolithography machines that are required to manufacture the most advanced chips” (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/ASML_Holding).
Resolution...
See: https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1787833286334480593
"BP NEEDS 70% FEWER THIRD-PARTY CODERS BECAUSE OF AI: CEO Highest paid jobs about to be hit with a neutron bomb."
This market will resolve according to this source if available: https://www..
The Council of Presidents of the United Nations General Assembly (UNCPGA) hosts a report with the title "Governance of the Transition to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Urgent Considerations for the UN General Assembly".
The executive summary...
Both SpaceX and Blue Origin are planning to send demo landers to the moon, before their crewed missions for Artemis III and V respectively.
Even before the official uncrewed demo landing Blue Origin is planning to send two pathfinder landers to the...
This market will resolve to "yes" if a fresh install of the current supported version of Google Chrome for Microsoft Windows has third-party cookies enabled by default.
This market resolves to YES if Elon Musk posts at least one tweet (or X post) from his verified account (@elonmusk) that substantively addresses gender politics, transgender issues, or women's rights before March 25, 2025.
To qualify, the tweet must...
https://twitter.com/tesla_optimus
Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of 2025, there is credible evidence indicating that Donald Trump is suffering from dementia. Such evidence may include:
An official medical diagnosis of dementia made by a...
This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that the US administration has taken concrete steps to force SpaceX to cease Starlink operations in Ukraine before June 1st, 2025.
According to Reuters reporting, the US has previously...
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