Resolves yes if at any time before 2050 there are passable sex robots (i.e., that look and sound realistic enough to pass a turing test in-person).

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 23 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Spurs and Pistons combine to score 230 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 230, this market will resolve to...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 24 12:00 PM ET to March 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count..

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the...

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of...

I don't really know anything about Centers or Boards or Renaming Things, but a friend made this prediction as an offhand comment, and I thought it would be fun as a market.

Criteria

My understanding is renaming the Center would be done by an act of...

Relative to land surface area as of 2022.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this...

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market...

This market resolves YES if any major tech company (including but not limited to Google, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, or other publicly traded tech companies with market caps over $10 billion) officially reports that at least 98% of new code is...

The pollster must be rated at-least 2.5 stars on 538's pollster ratings https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

The poll most provide enough information to be able to calculate what the average approval rating were be if Democrats...

https://twitter.com/jerryptang/status/1575846939543076865

The mind-reading must be a procedural aspect of the case (e.g. "we present as evidence that we read the mind of the defendant and they believe they're not guilty"), not the subject of the...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve...

Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun..

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual...

*Alice Cuddy & Jon Donnison

Role,BBC News, Jerusalem

26 January 2025

US President Donald Trump has said he wants Egypt and Jordan to take in Palestinians from Gaza.

Trump said he had made the request to Jordan's King Abdullah and planned to ask...

Some one helps me get a Factorio LLM assistant where while playing I can give it either custom or predefined jobs like "remove the extraneous light poles" or "straighten up and organize these belts" or "reconnect power to the area of the factory...

Resolves yes if social security goes bankrupt by 2030

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.