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Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League.

If at any point it becomes impossible...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.0k
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
58%
Trail Blazers
42%
Nuggets
Last updated: 2026-02-21

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 20 at 10:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 4 or more points.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $44k
Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?
5%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

This question has been posed by Rethink Priorities, a non-profit research organisation, as part of their work on European Union animal welfare policies.

European Union (EU) legislation currently allows the use of "enriched" cages for egg-laying...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 402
Will Apple dip to $172 in February?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during February 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $762
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Drobysheve, Donetsk Oblast, (49°02'31.4"N 37°43'54.7"E) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Drobysheve will be considered captured if the entirety of the...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $11k
Dota 2: Aomqu and friends vs yache123 - Game 1 Winner
> 99%
yache123
< 1%
Aomqu and friends
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aomqu and friends and yache123 in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs, scheduled for February 18 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aomqu and friends" if Aomqu and friends win Game 1...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $1.3k
Will Brandon Miller lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest three pointers made per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest three pointers made per-game average,...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $709
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
56%
Over
44%
Under
Last updated: 2026-02-21

In the upcoming Premier League game between Everton FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for February 23 at 3:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Everton FC and Manchester United FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.

If...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $59k
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.6k
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
80%
Likely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MegaETH officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable....

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $4.2k
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
51%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

“Released” means the full episode is published and...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $113
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2043?
44%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-06-12

Economic growth is measured by the increase in a country's production of goods and services over a period. When taken at a global scale, this is known as the Gross World Product (GWP). Historically, GWP growth has been relatively steady, with notable...

Last updated: 2025-06-12
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 30
Volume: M1.3k
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24?
62%
Likely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 24, 2026 If Middlesbrough FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $541
Will there be a score of 80% or higher on Humanity's Last Exam before April 1, 2025?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-01

Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) is a benchmark designed to test AI models at the frontiers of human expertise. The exam consists of expert-level questions across various fields, deliberately crafted to be extremely challenging. Current AI models have...

Last updated: 2025-04-01
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 20
Volume: M11k
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5
56%
Under
45%
Over
Last updated: 2026-02-21

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Bayern München and Eintracht Frankfurt, scheduled for February 21 at 9:30 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Bayern München and Eintracht Frankfurt combine to score 5 or more goals in this game..

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $163k
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

I will not trade on this market after December 24, 2024 to avoid any conflicts of interest in resolution.

Reported transmission must have occurred after this market was created for it to resolve YES.

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 109
Volume: M30k
Will transgender US passports with a gender other than that assigned at birth be revoked in 2025?
20%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-25

Will transgender US passports with a gender other than that assigned at birth be revoked in 2025? By any means, including legislative or administrative.

Update 2024-11-12 (PST): A policy to revoke passports would count as a YES resolution even if...

Last updated: 2025-05-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 99
Volume: M49k
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
7%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $3.1k
Will human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed?
62%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-22

Success is defined as being granted a license by a medical regulator to market the medicine in at least one developed country.

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20230609/p2a/00m/0sc/026000c https://dentistry.co..

Last updated: 2025-04-22
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 26
Volume: M1.1k
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
19%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-02-21

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart.

If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary...

Last updated: 2026-02-21
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.9k
Will the Latino voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 55% or larger?
27%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-23

2020 election voter turnout by race for reference: https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/large-racial-turnout-gap-persisted-2020-election

Last updated: 2025-04-23
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 13
Volume: M197

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