After April 4, 2025, this will happen again.
Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.
Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...
I will probably have trouble finding the exact numbers, so bet cautiously.
By 2030 I expect there will be AI that can digest most publicly available information about a person and then from that generate somewhat accurate but 'privacy violating' inferences. This is already somewhat done by advertisers, but I personally...
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21761/?theme=dark)Resolution...
May resolve NO early if Cyprus regains control of Northern Cyprus and Turkey gives up, making the likelihood of another country recognizing Northern Cyprus highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This...
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Hull City AFC and Queens Park Rangers FC, scheduled for February 21 at 7:30 AM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Hull City AFC and Queens Park Rangers FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this...
If the EU ceases to exist before 2040 this will resolve NA.
If the EU changes its name or form, the default assumption should be that this market applies to that 'new' group. If there is a mainstream debate or consensus outside of Manifold as to...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If...
The definiton for what qualifies as a 'Market Crash' is vague but a general guideline is a drop of more than 10% in major indices over a short timespan.
https://www.thestreet.com/dictionary/s/stock-market-crash
https://en.wikipedia..
Question will resolved YES, if the final chapter is released before 1st of July 2025.
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This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest assists per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest assists per-game average, this market will resolve...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated),...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session...
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on February 19, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market...
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