I have applied to be a vendor at several local farmers markets for my chocolate business. I think the likelihood of doing 5 events (if i'm accepted to a market) is very high, however will I like it enough to keep doing it?

SpaceX has released plans for an "Interplanetary Transport System" with the goal (among other things) of sending people to Mars.

In typical Elon Musk fashion, the announced timelines are wildly optimistic or aspirational. But Musk and SpaceX do...

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 27 at 8:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Grizzlies and Mavericks combine to score 241 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than 241, this market will resolve...

日本の公職選挙法および政党助成法に基づき、チームみらいが2025年8月31日までに政党要件（直近の国政選挙で得票率2%以上）を満たすかどうかを予測する市場です。

判定は、参議院の結果を参照します。

https://team-mir.ai

情報源：時事通信社

Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified which House of Councillors...

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 28 at 4:00 PM ET:

If the Abilene Christian Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Abilene Christian Wildcats".

If the Utah Valley Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Utah Valley...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by March 8,...

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or...

Resolves as YES if the dancing plague returns before January 1st, 2031.

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-0434665d77eb

@/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-8270051dd717...

@/strutheo/will-google-still-feature-the-im-fe

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that...

This question will resolve to “yes” if a new game developed by FromSoftware, Inc. is released before 31 December 2025.

Rules:

If there is any ambiguity, I will use the official US release date.

Games must be developed solely or mostly by...

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the...

Will resolve to the year a superconductor is discovered that

1. works at pressures less than 3 atmospheres

2. works at a temperature between 10 and 40 degrees Celcius

Batteries are the major cost in EV prices.

However, the rate of improvement of battery costs over the last 11 years is a 90% improvement. If you take that 90% improvement from $50/kWh in 2025 over 11 years to 2036, it goes something like...

In the upcoming Saudi Pro League game between Al Fayha Saudi Club and Al Nassr Saudi Club, scheduled for February 28 at 1:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Al Fayha Saudi Club and Al Nassr Saudi Club each score at least one goal...

Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by Partido Popular (PP) in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Stepnohirsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Stepnohirsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jalen Brunson is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP...

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market...

Starship has flown 5 times so far, all since Artemis I; however, none have flown to orbit. Will it fly, successfully and orbitally, more times before Artemis II, than SLS flies in its entire program?

Orbital will be defined as perigee above sea...

As long as nothing changes about the fact that I get M$10 per unique trader, this question can be considered as equivalent to "Will this question get 100 traders". However, it is possible that Manifold makes an update on how trader bonuses work, or...