Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by...

Update 2025-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will resolve this market to NO unless evidence is provided in the comments within the next couple of hours (from the time of the linked comment) showing that Iranian drones reached...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final trading day of February 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is...

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is...

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve...

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 19 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has...

As of October, 2023, the Case Schiller index is at 310. At some point in the next 3+ years, before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will decline by 20% and the index will be less than 250.

Reference:

https://www.spglobal..

The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) has been collecting data on what American students know and can do since 1969. Known as "The Nation's Report Card," the NAEP administers a series of assessments, including data on reading and...

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization...

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before...

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between February 13, 12:00 PM ET and February 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will...

Will Twitter (X) file for bankruptcy before 2027.

This does not depend on whether the site is operating.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or...

During President Trump's joint address to Congress in March 2024, he referred to Elon Musk as the "Head of DOGE" (Department of Government Efficiency). This statement has since been cited in legal challenges against the administration, as it...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A reduction to the...

A tweet asserts that in the event of a Harris/Walz victory in 2024, a ban on Twitter (aka "𝕏") will be their first move. Elon Musk quote-tweeted it approvingly.

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1836113736517431602

[image]Will Twitter remain legal in...

Will historians place the beginning of WW3 in 2023 or earlier? In the event that there is major disagreement about the start, resolves yes if at least 2 of the 5 most-cited answers place the start date in or prior to 2023.

Resolves in 2040 or five...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iraqi soil or any official Iraqi embassy or consulate by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the...

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 16 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the South Alabama Jaguars and Marshall Thundering Herd combine to score 151 or more points in this game.

If the combined total is less than...

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Zachary Svajda in the Delray Beach Open, scheduled for February 17 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or...

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential...