If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined...

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A...

Includes a human that is no longer alive.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically...

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to...

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the...

Francois Chollet said that there WILL be a lynching of immigrants in the USA before "this is over". Not sure what "this" is, we can at least assume by the end of 2025 is a reasonable time limit to make a prediction.

So the question is, will there be...

This market will resolve to the next team Brandon Aiyuk officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Brandon Aiyuk does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If Brandon Aiyuk...

On this week's Vergecast, Nilay Patel repeatedly said that his hot take is that in three years, Google and Apple will look substantially different than they do today. With their respective ongoing antitrust cases, there is a risk that e.g. Google is...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and...

Pandemic severity tradeoffs include mortality, transmissibility, scale, and any other relevant considerations.

Will at least 10 people, cumulative across protests, be killed by the National Guard before Dec 31, 2026?

I didn’t expect Mark to drop a track with T-Pain, but here we are.

Will he release more music before the end of 2025? Resolves YES if Mark Zuckerberg has 2 songs listed on his Spotify profile before the end of 2025 (or 1 if he’s taken down Get Low).

All US states were created with state constitutions that parallel the federal constitution in important structural ways, notably by having two separate chambers of the legislature. Some early colonies were initially established with unicameral...

Eesolve to'YES' when a majority of people in the comments believe that World War 3 has begun. I will use my judgment to make this determination.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range...

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take...

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...