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Zoro > Sanji Stock
87%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-05

Buy if Zoro is stronger, short if Sanji is stronger!

Last updated: 2025-06-05
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 32
Volume: M3.5k
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $56k
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?
14%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $2.0k
Will there be an exponential improvement in the bounds on diagonal Ramsey by 2060?
90%
Very likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

One of the most famous questions in combinatorics is the diagonal Ramsey question. Given some n, what is the largest N for which the complete graph on N can have its edges colored red and blue so that there is no monochromatic clique of size n? The...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 88
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Embryo selection is a potential emerging technology and is the subject of several previous Metaculus questions and a notebook.

The European Union and the associated Schengen Area have allowed for the movement of people and goods across Europe. ...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 164
Will Putin die in office?
77%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-14

Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies. I'll extend the close date if Putin has yet to die.

Last updated: 2025-06-14
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 59
Volume: M2.7k
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

In 2001, nuclear fission power plants generated a record 6.6% of the world's primary energy, though total production has somewhat declined since then as the world's total energy demand has increased. Nuclear fusion is an entirely different physical...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 29
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
4%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-14

Trying to give pretty precise resolution criteria-- will do my best to refine and resolve in the spirit of the question, and won't be betting.

Resolves YES if anything like these happen:

Alphabet sells off Waymo to a competitor and no longer has...

Last updated: 2025-06-14
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M4.3k
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★☆☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $15k
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
21%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $84k
Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?
65%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Lithium-ion battery recycling is important for a green transition as it helps to conserve resources and reduce the environmental impact of battery production. With the increasing demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage, there is a...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 75
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
17%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $19k
Will Sergio Moro have his mandate revoked in his first term as senator in Brazil?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-08

Resolves as YES as well if he renounces against his will

Resolves as NO if he renounces for e.g. running for another bigger position, for health reasons or if he dies

Last updated: 2025-05-08
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M1.8k
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
11%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $18k
Will we get a new version of Visual Studio by 2025?
75%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-03-03

Just like the last version was "2022", will get a new installment before/during that year? Will be confirmed when the option to download it is available on their website.

Last updated: 2025-03-03
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M407
Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2030? ($1k mana subsidy)
45%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-05-27

Commonplace is going to be a subjective measurement. It is more common than something rare. Upon seeing something commonplace, one does not seem very surprised to see that something's presence, usually. One tends to get used to a commonplace...

Last updated: 2025-05-27
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 30
Volume: M3.2k
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
59%
About Even
Last updated: 2026-03-09

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $7.5k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 2-8?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2026-03-09

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or...

Last updated: 2026-03-09
★★★☆☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $42k
Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
74%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-06

Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company. The Griffin lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. It should launch in late 2024..

Last updated: 2025-06-06
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M869
Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?
15%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

On November 19th, 2023, Argentina elected Javier Milei as President. His political party, the Libertarian Party) will hold 7 of 72 seats in the upper house of Argentina's Congress and 38 of 257 in its lower house.

Milei has promised to fully...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 160
Are sugar rushes real?
23%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-13

Resolves once I'm upwards of 99% sure that eating sweets causes a noticible change of behavior in the "more excitable/more active" direction, or upwards of 99% sure that it doesn't.

Inspired by https://thezvi.substack..

Last updated: 2025-04-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 40
Volume: M1.6k

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