Maybe they are still involved, but it’s easier to pose a question with concrete dates.

If serious evidence comes out regarding a romantic involvement between Barack and Jennifer at any point between 2017-2024, the answer will be “Yes.”

Serious...

The current labor agreement between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and U.S. port operators on the East Coast and Gulf Coast is set to expire on September 30, 2024. If no new agreement is reached by October 1st, the ILA has...

Related: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-unveil-a-rocket-car

Link: https://electrek.co/2024/03/18/tesla-roadster-wont-be-a-car-says-elon-musk/

[image]Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhsfjBpKiTw

(https://www.youtube.com/embed/hhsfjBpKiTw)

At a recent Goldman Sachs investment event, CEO of JPMorgan Chase Jamie Dimon was reported to have said the following about the potential for stagflation:

I'm not saying it's going to happen, I just give the odds much higher than other people. . ....

The website deagel.com made "predictions" of the populations of different countries in 2025 (archived here). Among them is a prediction that the USA's population would drop to a staggering 99 million (for comparison, the USA was home to 331 million...

Will NYC still be in a legally declared rental housing public emergency by April 1, 2027?

This question resolves to "YES" if, on April 1, 2027:

§ 26-520 of the New York City administrative code contains a date later than "April 1, 2027," where the...

The Standard Model of particle physics is the most complete description of physical phenomena not involving gravity known to date. It accommodates all known fundamental particles and explains their interactions in a compact way.

One of its features...

In an article featured on corepay.net titled 'Cashless Societies: Which Countries Are Making The Switch?', it highlights the global trend towards cashless economies. Many nations are embracing digital payment systems, with Sweden leading the way,...

Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu.

[image]China might opt to seize one or more of these islands in the coming years, either to test American and Taiwanese resolve, as a...

Resolves to YES if someone boards a SpaceX rocket, a launch is attempted, and they do not land alive.

Market will resolve to YES as soon as a death happens or to NO on December 31, 2030

Yes = Buy No = Short This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet) when you believe your side has over-corrected and buy in/short it again...

Pete Rose is the MLB hit champion with 4,256 career hits. He had an extended stint as a player and manager of the Cincinnati Reds. He was banned by Commissioner Bart Giamatti after an investigation revealed that he had gambled in games that he...

When I get access to Sora, I will generate a 10 second video at 1080p resolution. The market will resolve to X%, where X is the number of seconds between the moment I press the "generate" button to the moment I can start playing the video. If it...

The Australian Capital Territory is governed by a Legislative Assembly with elections held every four years. Elections involve five multi-member electorates, each of which elects five representatives, called MLAs (Member of the Legislative Assembly)....

It must be publicly revealed that Barron Trump gets a girlfriend or significant other by Jan 8, 2027 00:00 GMT*

Here is what would count as dating:

•Both parties claim or confirm that they are/were

OR one party claims they were, with significant...

This resolves to YES if we are confident that any model from DeepSeek, whether or not it existed at the time this question was created, would have been held responsible for a catastrophic risk, anywhere in the world, as it would have been judged by...

This question resolves YES if the US House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump between his inauguration on 20 Jan 2025 and the end of his term of office on January 20, 2029.

This question resolves NO if...

Will Trump exclude Australia from the steel tariffs? The market will resolve yes if he removes all steel tariffs or if Australia is excluded. I will not vote on this market.

https://www.news.com..

Resolves when it happens or when Trump dies. Only resolves YES if proven without doubt.