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As our collective memory of the devastation and fear of nuclear war recedes the risks of a nation using these weapons feels more tangible.
Global tensions are increasing worldwide with nuclear powered and nuclear-backed nations only serving to make...
Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that the "spirit of the question" is about a ground invasion involving troops. A small-scale incursion by special operations forces may not be sufficient for a YES...
Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official representative of the White House publicly mentions "Winnie the Pooh" in any capacity between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025. The mention must be verifiable through...
Whistleblower protection in the Defend Trade Secrets Act:
(1) An individual shall not be held criminally or civilly liable under any Federal or State trade secret law for the disclosure of a trade secret that: (A) is made— (i) in confidence to a...
This question will resolve as Yes if, before 2029, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reports that the day 10 forecast for 500 hPa height has reached an anomaly correlation coefficient of 60% or greater for either the...
In the wake of the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan has remained an unrecognized state. Multiple sources have reported that China is considering recognizing the Taliban.
Pretty cut and simple.
Cold feet call offs count as NO
Many building blocks are needed to support life, including water, carbon dioxide, methane, ammonia, and hydrogen gas (Smithsonian Magazine). To be considered “potentially habitable”, a planet must be up to 2.5 times the size of the Earth or up to 10...
If elected or the president dying while she is vice president and then being approved as President, this resolves yes
if she wins the 2028 election this resolves YES
@/strutheo/will-joe-biden-be-alive-on-the-day
@/strutheo/will-biden-live-to-see-a-human-walk
[markets]
The company would need to change the existing name to a new one, similar to Facebook -> Meta, Twitter -> X.
A pandemic is an epidemic of an infectious disease that has spread across a large region, for instance multiple continents or worldwide, affecting a substantial number of individuals. Recent pandemics include tuberculosis, Russian flu, Spanish flu,...
On 13 February 2024, the $95-billion overseas aid bill passed the US Senate in a 70-29 vote; however, the US Speaker Mike Johnson refused to say he would bring the bill to the floor of the House.
Congress members may bypass the Speaker's will by...
In Bangladesh, within a context of democratic backsliding and claimed Indian influence, a popular uprising of millions of people in the streets of Dhaka ejected Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina on August 5.
Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus was called to...
Resolves yes if Trump and Biden are both alive at any point in 2033.
If either of them die, will resolve no immediately.
Resolves n/a if their fate is unknown.
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