Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2028 (and after 2023)

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d...

Resolves according to my subjective judgement, but I'll take opinions of those I respect at the time into account. As of market creation, people whose opinions I value highly include Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander.

As of market creation, I...

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary...

This market refers on the tennis match between Julia Riera and Anna Blinkova in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for April 1 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Julia Riera' if Julia Riera advances against Anna Blinkova.

This market will...

They just added a new award for best achievement in casting.

Anything for stunt people, stunt coordinators, stunts, etc. in the future?

It's long overdue.

https://fortune.com/2023/08/01/can-ai-chatgpt-hallucinations-be-fixed-experts-doubt-altman-openai/

[link preview]“This isn’t fixable,” said Emily Bender, a linguistics professor and director of the University of Washington’s Computational...

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 8 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has...

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage),...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Territory will be considered captured if...

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A...

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Betmoar officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins,...

for example one with January 6, 2021 marking Year 0

Must be used and promoted in a significant way

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market...

This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If Tyreek Hill joins a team that is...

Living species. At least one specimen must break 1kg. (For aquatic species, this ignores the weight of water that can be easily removed, e.g. wringing out a sponge.)

In order to resolve YES, the scientific community must come to recognize it as a...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If NEOM SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game...

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that either Bill or Hillary Clinton testifies publicly, under subpoena or otherwise, subsequent to the launch of this market on January 9, 2026 and by the End Date listed below, before any Congressional...

This market will resolve according to the NHL team that wins the 2025–26 Presidents' Trophy (best regular season record by points; tiebreakers per NHL rules).