This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is...

By mid 2028 he publicly makes at least three statements stating they should be a state

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Portnoy gives any pizza a rating of 9.0 or higher during any One Bite Pizza Review published between the date of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"..

If NYC ends congestion pricing, even temporarily, on or before July 1st, 2025, resolves to YES.

Resolves Yes if Manifold are still functioning by 2030 Resolves No if Manifold became defunct before that

Don't ask me how I would be able to resolve No if Manifold has became defunct

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on March 20 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a...

VR Gaming is becoming increasingly mainstream, and the switch already has motion tracking, IR, and immersive haptics. Will their next console join the competition in the VR space?

Resolves YES if the next Nintendo console announced has a virtual...

According to Wikipedia. Actually directly categorized as genocide, not just "many people are saying..."

Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for an event to be considered 'directly categorized as...

Resolves yes 🟩 if Andrew tate is found guilty of any crimes.

Resolves no🟥 if 2025 ends and he is not found guilty.

Feel free to add suggestions to the market and provide necessary updates.

🟦If this market becomes popular I will upgrade it to...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...

This market refers on the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante..

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in February 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and March 31, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground,...

This market is about whether I will fully repaint my 48 sqm apartment between 4 May 2025 and 31 May 2025. It serves as a commitment device to help me complete this project. I have already painted one room on 31 December 2024 for an earlier market..

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and...

As artificial intelligence continues to advance at an unprecedented pace, the risk of a catastrophic misalignment between AI systems and human values looms larger than ever. One of the most pressing concerns is the potential emergence of a Rouge AI -...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other..

Context, from THR:

Luca Guadagnino to Direct True-Life OpenAI Movie ‘Artificial’ for Amazon MGM

Guadagnino is in talks to direct Artificial, a recounting of the tumultuous period at artificial intelligence company OpenAI in 2023 that saw CEO Sam...