In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 10, 2026 If Club The Strongest wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

Hacks don't count. And it only counts if it makes international news (otherwise I wouldn't manage to find it). Europe = continent, so the relevant part of Russia also counts.

Update 2025-04-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Hacks...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The...

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as...

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve...

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before...

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price...

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and Nigma Galaxy in the DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage, scheduled for February 4 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against Nigma...

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market...

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest rebounds per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest rebounds per-game average, this market will...

Donald Trump is set to participate in "Signing Time" on February 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 3, 2026....

The US has already banned high-end AI chip exports to China (putting roadblocks in China's way) and passed the CHIPS Act to subsidise chip manufacturing in the US (trying to protect US national security by reducing the reliance of the AI supply chain...

Strong AGI as defined by the official Manifold market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

If he steps down as CEO but remains on the board or another role, this question will remain open.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this...

Embryo selection is a potential emerging technology and is the subject of several previous Metaculus questions and a notebook.

Lee Kuan Yew, the founder of Singapore, was a big believer in the heritability of intelligence. In his 1983 National Day...

Will it be able to learn by a select its own data to train on (from the inputs and outputs it has received), and is trained on this data regularly?

Regularly is important - the updates should happen at least as frequently as once a week. Possibly...

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the...

This market predicts whether Liverpool will secure the Premier League title before May 16, 2025. Resolution will be based on official Premier League standings and announcements.

References:

https://www.premierleague.com/

https://theanalyst..