This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes...

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this...

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/31118)Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu has remained the Prime Minister of Israel for the...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed..

This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before...

Will Donald Trump or MAGA be satirized in GTA VI?

Some examples that could satisfy a ‘Yes’ resolution are:

an NPC who is a politician and:

Has avid supporters who wear red hats,

Makes excessive use of hyperbole to inflate their image,

Has...

On June 10, 2023, Mustafa Suleyman, cofounder of DeepMind, tweeted that "LLM hallucinations will be largely eliminated by 2025." He elaborated this meant 80% accuracy by June 30, 2025, though Gary Marcus, Riley Goodside, and others responded this bar...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If Qingdao Hainiu FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 1, 2026 If Atlético Nacional wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If...

This question asks if the inflation-adjusted US economy will have a year where it's 30% bigger than it has ever been before.

This question resolves YES if, in any year up to and including 2034, the US Real GDP (as reported by the US Bureau of...

The Union State is a supranational organization, composed of Russia and Belarus since its creation in 1999. It is formally open to membership applications from other countries. Union State members share freedom of migration to work or live in...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High"...

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.311123° N, 36.931008° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).

Territory will be considered captured...

In the upcoming La Liga game between Club Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if Club Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.

If the...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of former Department of Justice Special Prosecutor Jack Smith by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET....

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies...

Do commercial services like Midjourney and Bing Image Creator have to stop or adapt their services in the US by 2027 because they rely on training data that was not explicitly released for that purpose by the authors?

If new law or an interpretation...

Context: https://x.com/TheDailyShow/status/1894844159812366809 .

[link preview]

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than...

https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/who-knew-bees-are-fish-2022-06-02/

Resolves according to whether California's Fish and Game Code still defines bees as fish.

(This market is about what's written in the code, not about what a court finds is...