Embryo selection is a potential emerging technology and is the subject of several previous Metaculus questions and a notebook. In particular, two previous questions asked about embryo selection for intelligence in the United States.
A 2020 Pew poll...
In 2020 China's GDP increased by 2.3% while the US' decreased by 2.3%. Furthermore in 2021 China's GDP grew 8.1% to 114.367 trillion yuan, while the US' grew 5.7% to $22.99 trillion. China's faster economic recovery during the coronavirus pandemic...
Related Questions on Metaculus:
- By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
- When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?
*This question makes use of the background material this previous question, lightly...
Related Questions on Metaculus:
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If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1000 detonations, will that cause >4 billion fatalities within 10 years?
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If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 billion fatalities...
Charles III, born November 14, 1948, is King of the United Kingdom and 14 other Commonwealth realms. He acceded to the throne on September 8, 2022 upon the death of his mother, Queen Elizabeth II, who was the longest-reigning British monarch in...
On May 2, 2022 POLITICO published a leaked draft of a Supreme Court Decision which would overturn Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey. Justice Alito wrote "The inescapable conclusion is that a right to abortion is not deeply rooted in the...
India and Pakistan have tense relations and a history of conflict, in recent years involving a number of skirmishes at the contested border.
Tensions heightened in June of 2020 when Indian and Chinese forces clashed in hand to hand combat along the...
Germany finalized its long-planned exit from nuclear energy in April 2023, shutting down its last three nuclear power plants. This decision was part of a policy shift that began in 1998, with the government initially planning to phase out nuclear...
Today, many companies offer remote work from home or part-time hybrid work from home (Fortune). Following the Covid 19 pandemic, many large companies has continued to offer fully remote or part-time hybrid remote work options.
The Flex Index tracks...
Neuroscientist and fiction author Erik Hoel predicted the following about women in the US in the year 2050 in a blog post published August 25, 2021:
By 2050 there will be near-domination of society and the economy by women. [...] Just as the...
Genetic sequencing has gotten cheaper by several orders of magnitude in the past several decades. Over 1 million Americans have already had their DNA sequenced through direct-to-consumer products like those offered by 23AndMe, Ancestry, etc.
Many...
Each year since 2011, the programming Q&A website Stack Overflow has conducted a survey of its users. Among the questions included, developers are asked to list all programming languages that they regularly use. For the previous eight years,...
On July 18, 2021, the current vaccine for tuberculosis, the Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) vaccine, turned 100 years old. While it is considered critical for preventing disseminated TB forms and TB meningitis in children in endemic countries, some...
From Fox News,
A new political action committee has formed attempting to draft Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to run for president in 2024, and it is being run by a Republican consultant heavyweight who has been a veteran of campaigns involving former...
By virtue of their rarity, extreme space weather events - massive solar storms, such as the Carrington event of 1859, are difficult to study, their rates of occurrence are difficult to estimate, and prediction of a specific future event is...
Australia is the world's 20th largest economy by PPP-adjusted GDP, and has suffered only one recession (during the COVID-19 pandemic) since 1991.
During the 2021–2022 inflation surge, the Reserve Bank of Australia began to increase interest rates in...
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