This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the...

The arbiter of truth is https://killedbygoogle.com/

An "LLM-based product" is any product with LLMs as a central feature, such as Gemini.

A product that incidentally uses LLM features doesn't count (e.g. if gmail spam filtering used LLMs, then...

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve...

According to this website: https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats ...

Bluesky has 15.6m users today (mid November 2024), compared with X's ~550m. To me it seems plausible they could dramatically increase that. The last 2 weeks have apparently seen 1m/week. If...

It doesn't need to be a formal charge of a crime, it could also be something like a sexual assault allegation.

The allegation must be specific, like "I was attacked on [date] at [place]", it can't be "I heard a rumor that Scott once did something...

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2035, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES.

See also:

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

These chemicals here will be found to play large role in UFOs by 2050.

[image] Market will resolve yes if these chemicals are found on crafts built by intelligences other than human.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM...

I will use realtor.com data as the source

In Venezuela's disputed presidential election on July 28, 2024, incumbent Nicolás Maduro was declared the winner with 51.2% of the vote, despite allegations of irregularities and fraud by the opposition and international observers. If the election...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any...

What will happen first: shutdown or new speaker (including empty position)?

Resolves YES if any length of government shutdown occurs while Mike Johnson is speaker of the house.

Resolves NO if Mike Johnson no longer holds the position for any reason..

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 24, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of...

From CNN,

If China tries to take Taiwan, are the United States and its allies able to stop it? [The] alarming answer is: Quite possibly not. Analysts say China has more troops, more missiles and more ships than Taiwan or its possible supporters,...

Not live ratings.

During the women's floor exercise final at the 2024 Paris Olympics, Jordan Chiles of the United States initially finished in fifth place. However, her coach filed an inquiry regarding her difficulty score, which resulted in Chiles being awarded an...

quasi-Permanent market! Preliminary resolving by year 9999. 🤣

"You take the blue pill... the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill... you stay in Wonderland, and I show you how deep the...

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to...

The second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition...