Spanish democracy has a mechanism where the president can call a snap election, described in Section 115 of the Spanish constitution. The last election was held July 23, 2023, after snap elections were called. The next Spanish general election is...

This market will resolve yes if, on Jan 1, 2028, Americans are able to legally trade online on elections.

Further details, in case the answer falls in a "gray area":

The market will resolve "yes" if election betting is de facto legal -- meaning...

According to the McKinsey Global Survey. In 2023 they found "Outside the tech world, only a third of global managers tell McKinsey they are regularly using generative ai for work; about half have tried the technology but have decided not to use it,...

French President Emmanuel Macron has indicated that France might officially recognize a Palestinian state in June 2025. This market resolves to 'Yes' if France formally announces recognition of the State of Palestine before October 1, 2025....

Recent speculation about Sri Mulyani Indrawati's future as Indonesia's Minister of Finance has intensified following a Ramadan dinner with President Prabowo on March 12, 2025.

This market resolves YES if by April 15, 2025:

Sri Mulyani officially...

Will resolve YES if someone if someone dies while wearing Apple's Vision Pro by the end of 2025.

Questions are very welcome, so please comment if any clarification is needed.

I will not bet on this market.

P vs. NP is one of the most famous and important problems in computer science. Informally: if the solution to a problem is easy to check for correctness, must the problem also be easy to solve? Aside from being an important problem in computational...

resolves yes if square donuts represent at least 50% of all doughnuts available to purchase in America in 2030.

If NYC ends congestion pricing, even temporarily, on or before July 1st, 2025, resolves to YES.

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

From a recent arXiv preprint,

We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians. The questions cover most major branches of modern mathematics...

India, with its stellar GDP performance, stands tall on the economic stage. However, the trade arena is becoming increasingly crowded, casting shadows on the nation's economic resilience.

A noteworthy trend amplifying India's economic standing is...

The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) has been collecting data on what American students know and can do since 1969. Known as "The Nation's Report Card," the NAEP administers a series of assessments, including data on reading and...

Will continuing progress in AI capabilities result in the existence of a general artificial intelligence which has a "room temperature" IQ score of 68-77 according to the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale?

The AI must be a "general intelligence"...

Must make public statements confirming

First Gentleman is the male equivalent of First Lady - the husband of the President of the United States

Open continuously until there is a First...

If a Macron-backed candidate (or one that runs for his coalition or his Renaissance party) fails to be elected president, will be a candidate of the far-right? (like Le Pen or a Le Pen-backed candidate)?

I'll rely on the press to determine the...

Market will resolve yes is Giuliani takes a plea deal in return for testifying against Trump in the Georgia election fraud case.

There is currently a bill stuck in committees in Congress that would make Daylight Savings Time permanent.

When it passed unanimously through the house in 2022, health advocates pointed out that it would be healthier to abolish Daylight Savings Time...

Resolves as YES if GPT-5 is released before November 1st 2025

Questions with the same criteria:

@/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-mar-20-04aa9e145a57

@/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20-e3c7a09c7840...

If any kind of Galactic Federation (managed by living beings that were not born on planet Earth) reveals itself to humanity before 2030, this market will be resolved as "Yes".

Respectfully duplicated and modified...

This market will never resolve. It works the same as other permanent stock markets. Buy when undervalued, sell when overvalued. YES corresponds to short timelines, NO corresponds to long timelines. I will not bet here.