This question has been posed by Rethink Priorities, a non-profit research organisation, as part of their work on European Union animal welfare policies.

European Union (EU) legislation currently allows the use of "enriched" cages for egg-laying...

SpaceX's launch cadence has generally increased from year to year. Their workhorse Falcon 9 can lift approximately 25 tons to LEO. Their upcoming Starship, once operational, is claimed to be able to lift 4-6x as much. Its greater capacity could...

Resolves positively if there is an AI can learn to play randomly selected computer games (shooters, strategy games, flight simulators, etc) at the level of an amateur but not completely incompetent human player, given only a small amount of time...

In the CBB game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:10 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Gonzaga Bulldogs" if the Gonzaga Bulldogs win the game by 3 or more points.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas Longhorns".

The result will be determined...

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the...

Sep 5, 9:58am: Resolves NO if China is passed as the second largest economy (or if either China &/ the US cease to exist)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"..

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will...

Associated grant: Center for Effective Global Action at UC Berkeley — Scoping RCTs for Long-Term Follow-Ups

The second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition...

This market resolves based on whether federal employees who accept the January 2025 deferred resignation offer receive their full promised compensation and benefits through their resignation date (September 30, 2025 or earlier if they choose)..

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 01.xyz total volume is equal to or greater than $5,000,000,000 at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://01..

Context: https://nypost.com/2025/05/29/us-news/fbi-will-soon-release-video-that-proves-jeffrey-epstein-was-not-murdered/

FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino promised Thursday to release new video that finally debunks conspiracy theories that sex...

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this...