This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will...

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market..

This market resolves to “yes” if Scotland either votes to leave in a referendum or actually does leave the UK through some other means before January 1st 2040.

It resolves “No” if Scotland does not leave or vote to leave.

It resolves “n/a” if...

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for BTC.D between Sept 5, 2025, 15:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value of 70.00% or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve...

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If América FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the...

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of...

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions are met:

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Achieved by 2030: AGI is defined as AI systems capable of performing any intellectual task that a human can do,...

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30,...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that...

Planet 9 is a hypothetical gravitational object in the outer solar system, that would explain the orbits of some trans neptunian objects.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Nine

If any object with mass is discovered that explains these orbits...

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections....

[image]

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off..

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including...

Stacey Abrams, failed 2018 Georgia gubernatorial candidate who has yet to concede that election as of January 31, 2020, thinks she will be elected president in the next 20 years. Do you agree?

Source: Stacey Abrams Thinks She’ll Be President By 2040

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off...

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve...

By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak. This will be achieved by banning transgender content from media and by general control over information and disinformation. Any...

For context, see: https://twitter.com/hamandcheese/status/1707097197714489550?t=j-wYsBDaq8C_vm_E4dXvPA&s=19

Monopoly Deal is a game by Hasbro. The rules can be found here.

Will an AI be able to win a Monopoly Deal tournament with fairly experienced players by the end of 2025? If a game is similar to Monopoly Deal (such as Covidopoly), that would count as...