Refer to the winners of @/singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a

This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2026. Here are the names:

Ilya Sutskever

Yann...

I am testing vibes based markets.

E.g. “Our internal benchmark is around 50th best [competitive] programmer in the world. And, we’ll hit #1 by the end of the year [2025].” – Sam Altman, 2025

Resolves YES if Joe Biden is photographed while eating ice cream again.

Resolves NO if Joe Biden ever dies.

[image]

I will resolve this question as "yes," if the New York Times publishes a story stating that a U.S. citizen, involved in a protest situation, was killed by a U.S. military service member in the year 2025.

This may not be resolved within 2025 because...

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) stock price closes at or above $200.00 per share on December 31, 2025. The closing price will be determined based on the official closing price reported by the NASDAQ...

Currently Microsoft Copilot relies on OpenAI's GPT-* foundation models. A "Yes" resolution means that by December 31, 2025, Microsoft will still be relying primarily on OpenAI's foundation models for Copilot, rather than developing their own...

See: @/strutheo/coolfold-100-challenge-which-of-the

judged by multiple exchanges

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2032, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES.

Will the spillover event of a zoonotic disease into humans occur in 2024. This disease can have been previously recorded in the animal population but not in humans.

This will resolve yes if such a spillover event happens in 2024 and no if it...

By virtue of their rarity, extreme space weather events - massive solar storms, such as the Carrington event of 1859, are difficult to study, their rates of occurrence are difficult to estimate, and prediction of a specific future event is...

Definition of Extraterrestrial Civilization

For the purposes of this market, an "extraterrestrial civilization" is defined as any organized society or community originating from outside Earth that displays one or more of the following...

New START is a nuclear arms reduction treaty between the United States and the Russian Federation, which was signed on 8 April 2010. After its extension in 2021 it is expected to last until 5 February 2026.

We ask a pair of questions about the...

A break can be any amount of time, enough for Shonen Jump to state at the end of chapters if there will be a break before the next one.

“YES” = “Yes, there will be a break after chapter 80”

“NO” = “No there will not be a break after chapter...

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Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders...

Schwab customers must be able to trade on the election directly through their main brokerage platform (including ThinkOrSwim and other platforms directly owned/operated by Schwab).

Will resolve YES if a character named Sabra who is an Israeli Mossad agent is included in the move. Will resolve NO if Sabra is removed, or she is no longer Israeli, or no longer a Mossad agent. Will resolve N/A if the movie is not released or is...

Caroline Ellison was sentenced to two years in prison for her role in the FTX scandal, and is set to begin her sentence on or around November 7, 2024.

Before the FTX collapse, she was a semi-frequent poster on Tumblr, under the username...

! Block #DailyCoinflip to stop seeing these !

Yes = heads

No = tails

(Day 299)

Current totals: 153 heads vs 145 tails

Longest streak: 10 (heads) (days 12-22)

Yesterday’s flip: YES

@FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome

1 =...