Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

India and Pakistan have tense relations and a history of conflict, in recent years involving a number of skirmishes at the contested border.

Tensions heightened in June of 2020 when Indian and Chinese forces clashed in hand to hand combat along the border, resulting in the deaths of 20 Indian soldier and four Chinese soldiers. Following additional clashes, India and Pakistan reaffirmed a previous peace accord in February of 2021, which was followed by a period of reduced conflict. Still, small skirmishes have continued to occur, most recently in early November 2023 when an Indian border guard was killed during an exchange of weapons fire between border guards for the two countries.