Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description

Germany finalized its long-planned exit from nuclear energy in April 2023, shutting down its last three nuclear power plants. This decision was part of a policy shift that began in 1998, with the government initially planning to phase out nuclear power, a plan briefly cancelled in 2009 but reinstated in 2011 following the Fukushima Daiichi accident. By early 2011, Germany had 17 nuclear reactors supplying over one-quarter of its electricity, but this number was progressively reduced. The final closure of the remaining reactors in 2023 marked a significant energy transition for Germany, moving away from nuclear power towards other energy sources. A 2023 report found that two-thirds of Germans support nuclear energy and that at least 8 of the old reactors can be restarted within as little as 9 months.

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PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts237

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Germany finalized its long-planned exit from nuclear energy in April 2023, shutting down its last three nuclear power plants. This decision was part of a policy shift that began in 1998, with the government initially planning to phase out nuclear...

Last updated: 2024-05-09
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 237

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