How many measles cases will be reported in the US in 2024?
At least 200, but fewer than 400
At least 400, but fewer than 800
Fewer than 200
At least 1,200, but fewer than 1,600
At least 800, but fewer than 1,200
Question description
Cases of measles have risen globally amid widespread vaccine skepticism, and there are concerns over potential outbreaks in the US (ABC News, NPR). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using data as first reported on the CDC's "Measles Cases and Outbreaks" page (CDC). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Good Judgment Open |
| Number of forecasts | 105 |
| Forecasters | 33 |
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Resizable preview:
35%
At least 200, but fewer than 400
27%
At least 400, but fewer than 800
18%
Fewer than 200
11%
At least 1,200, but fewer than 1,600
8%
At least 800, but fewer than 1,200
Last updated: 2024-05-10
Last updated: 2024-05-10
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 105
Forecasters: 33
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