In January 2021, Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un set several goals for the nation in his Five-Year Plan, including:
The basic tasks facing the building materials industry during the new five-year plan period is to attain the goal of...
Serena Williams is widely considered the greatest Tennis player of all time. She has won 23 Grand Slams in her career. 1 short of Margaret Court's record.
However, she is starting to get older turning 40 in 2021 and she's slipped away from the #1...
If AI can be conscious, then this will have major impacts on how to build AI (e.g., maybe AI labs avoid building the kinds of AI that are conscious), how to treat AI (see, e.g., "Sharing the World with Digital Minds and "Propositions Concerning...
Soil moisture refers to the water content in the top one centimetre of soil. Soil moisture is an essential land surface variable that has a significant impact on many environmental processes, such as the exchange of water and heat between the land...
In October 2022, the US instituted new, wide-ranging export controls aimed at controlling a set of “chokepoint” technologies in the global semiconductor supply chain. China is one of the leading countries in AI, but AI advancements have historically...
Metaculus users are acutely aware of the existential risks associated with nuclear security. The predictions community has written hundreds of questions concerning nuclear risk, and Metaculus is currently hosting a Nuclear Risk tournament. Most of...
*This question is linked to a fortified essay by Arnold Kling on two competing theories of inflation. The resolution of this question is meant to support or undermine his preferred theory. Read the essay to learn more about how this question applies...
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2024 U.S. Senate election in Ohio. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed...
We will settle this market on the date the Conservative Party officially announce their new Permanent Party Leader after Rishi Sunak. Temporary/interim leaders do not count. If a temporary/interim leader is appointed we will wait until the date of...
The potential capabilities of artificial intelligence may radically shift our society. This could be in positive or negative ways – including extinction risk.
Because of this, it’s important to track the development of goal-oriented independent...
Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskyy (Ukrainian: Володимир Олександрович Зеленський) was elected President of Ukraine on April 21, 2019. Despite having no prior political experience, he defeated the incumbent Petro Poroshenko with 73% of the popular...
In 2020, the Future of Life Institute published a report entitled "The Windfall Clause: Distributing the Benefits of AI for the Common Good." (They also wrote an abridged version to be published in the Proceedings of AIES. Also, fun aside: Metaculus'...
As of late 2023, the Gaza Strip has been at the centre of intense conflict and humanitarian crisis, primarily due to the escalating violence between Israel and Hamas. The situation deteriorated significantly following a major terrorist attack on...
Taiwan makes up most of the land territory of the Republic of China (ROC). ROC also controls smaller islands, including Kinmen and Matsu. Both are located directly off the coast of China's Fujian province; distance to Taiwan is 275 km for Kinmen and...
The Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory (LIGO) has been responsible for some tremendously exciting science this decade.
- On September 14, 2015, LIGO detected (through gravitational waves) the merger of two black holes billions of...
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